Assess the importance of economic issues
ending the Cold War (N06)
To what extent did economic problems in
the communist bloc bring about the end of the Cold War? (M05)
Introduction –
- Stagnant economy led to arms reductions
- Two main schools; result of external pressure, or domestic
problems (Bell)
- McCauley > combination of both
Economy –
- Military competition was increasingly expensive
- Needed a weapons deal to restructure economy
- Soviet economy wasn’t large enough militarily to compete with
US, nor effective enough to support military budges (30% by mid-80s)
- Central command economy could move a backwards, agricultural
nation to basic heavy industry, but not in complex manufacturing product
(automobiles)
- Corruption and black market – citizens increasingly unhappy
- USSR needed an arms deal to shift economic resources to
restructing the economy
- During 1980s 14-15% GDP on military spending, while 4-6% in US
- Thus Gorbachev’s offer to eliminate all nuclear weapons within
10 years at Reykjavik/ withdraw from Afghanistan
- Global recognition of cost of nuclear war
- December 1985 Saudi Arabia change oil policy so oil prices
collapsed – oil money was needed to pay for imports of grain to USSR
- Signs of stagnation from 60s – more open atmosphere since then
Ideology –
- Gobachev and others felt communist model was broken
- Affect on Afghanistan and didn’t invade Eastern blocs
repudiating Brezhnev Doctrine
- Introduced perestroika and glasnost – greater democratization
- Law on Cooperatives (permitted private ownership), Enterprise
Law (transferred decision making from central ministries to enterprises),
Law on Joint Ventures (allowed foreign ownership of companies), censorship
was abolished in 1988, political parties and organizations were allowed
- Crockatt:
‘direct result of Gorbachev’s policies’
Personalities –
- Gorbachev was willing to change USSR, more educated, younger,
also had been in Czech after Prague Spring
- Reagan recognized G as genuine and negotiated deals with him
encouraging better relations
Military
- US sophistication (computer technology) meant Soviets were falling behind, especially after SDI pr ‘Star Wars’ in 1983
- Sophisticated weapons supplied by US to Afghan rebels > Stinger Missiles
- Difficult to argue that Reagan’s military build-up caused sudden soviet collapse, as signs of stagnation since 1960s > Keenan “simply childish”
To what extent did (a) ideolical and (b)
economic factors contribute to the ending of the Cold War (Nov11)
Introduction –
Ideological Factors –
- Attempts made by Soviet leaders to reform a Communist system, without destroying its ideological base
- Challenge of adopting perestroika > led to political change, resurgence of nationalism
- President Reagan took an ideological stance against Communism
- Crockatt > direct result of Gorbachev’s policies
- Censorship abolished in 1988, political parties allowed
- Rejection of Brezhnev Doctrine led to spurt of nationalism
- 1990 leading role of communist party was dropped from the constitution
Economic Factors –
- Stagnation, cost of fighting Soviet-Afghan War, upheavals in satellite states
- Gorbachev felt pressured to match (unsuccessfully) increased US defense spending
- Military spending was 13-14% of GNP in mid 1980s, whereas 4-6% in US
- GNP growth was negative during the Gorbachev era
- Difficult to argue that Regan’s military buildup led to economic collapse as there were signs of stagnation since 1960s
- Collapse of oil prices in 1985, as Saudi Arabia made changes to oil policy
- Oil money was needed to pay for imports of grains to USSR
- Planned economy was rigid
- McCauley > “only market economies generates rising prosperity over decades.”
- Low morale and productivity
- Nomenklatura obstructed systematic reforms and new initiatives > in their interest to preserve system and oppose decentralization
- USSR didn’t understand importance of computer technology
- Stagnation was due to lack of economic competition, private
incentives, entrepreneurship, and the role of the nomenklatura in
obstructing reforms
To what extent was the collapse of
communist regimes the result of domestic problems rather than external
pressures? (N07)
Introduction –
- Domestic problems; material shortages, production problems, difficulty of maintaining consumer goods whilst maintaining expenditure on military/defense budgets, ossification of command economy and central planning systems
- External pressures; liked to economic pressures, religious institutions, altered ideology, domino effect
- Crockatt > direct result of Gorbachev’s policies
- McCauley > combination of both
Domestic Problems;
- Planned economy was rigid
- Low morale and productivity
- Nomeklatura obstructed reforms because it was in their interest to preserve system and oppose decentralization
- Didn’t understand importance of computer technology
- McCauley > “only a market economy generates rising prosperity over decades”
- Stagnation was due to lack of economic competition, private incentives, entreprenurship, and role of nomenklatura
- Introduce Perestrokia
- Censorship was abolished in 1988 and political parites were allowed
- Rejection of Brezhnev Doctrine / glasnos led to nationalism
- 1990 the leading role of the communist party was dropped from constitution
- Crockatt > “result of Gorbachev’s policies
- Difficulty providing consumer goods and industrial
External Pressures;
- Arms race to close missile gap
- 1980s spent 14-15% GNP on military, wheras US spent 4-6%
- GNP grow was negative during Gorbachev era
- Signs of stagnation since 1960s, so Reagan was unlikely cause
- Americans provided Stinger missiles to Afghanistan guerilla
fighters, effective at shooting Soviet helicopters, Crockatt > decisive
factor
- 1988 abandoned Brezhnev Doctrine and allowed satellites to
determine own internal affairs
- Russian population was attracted by Western habits and consumer
goods, which contrasted with shortages and ques
- December 1985 collapse of oil prices after Saudi made changes
to oil policy
- Needed oil money to pay for imported grain
- Development n Third World further eroded support for Soviet
system – facing serious economic problems
To what extent did the events in Eastern
Europe countries contribute to the end of the Cold War? (M11)
Introduction –
- In 1989 five Eastern European states saw collapse of pro-Soviet Communist regimes
- Poland, Hungary, East Germany, Czechoslovakia, and Romania (mostly peaceful)
- Unpopular, economically inefficient gov collapsed after Gorbachev wouldn’t maintain control using Brezhnev Doctrine
- Other factors; arms limitation
In what ways did Reagan influence the
development of the Cold war? (M12)
Introduction –
- Increase in defense spending (SDI and Cruise missile deployment
in Europe)
- Rejection of détente
- Involvement of civil war in Angola through sponsoring UNITA,
provision of aid to anti-Soviet forces in Afghanistan, support anti-communist
regimes in Americas,
- Prssure (economic and military) upon USSR as being major
contributing factor to the decline of Soviet power and demise of USSR
Analyze the factors which led to the
ending of the Cold War (N05)
Introduction –
- Developing arms limitations and détente and growing cordiality;
economic cost; Gorbachev reform leading to withdrawal from Afghanistan,
end of support to Eastern European states increased standard of living in
West and decreasing in East with increased communication making it more
easily known; growth of opposition parties; nationalism
M
Examine the ways in which the arms race
(a) cause tension in the Cold War and (b) helped end the Cold War (Specimen
2012)
Introduction –
- Continuous competition between Western powers to establish technical and numerical supremecy in arms production
- Caused tension because both sides feared the other was stronger
- Cuban missile crisis reflected aim of USSR to place missiles that could reach USA who had weapons that could reach USSR in Turkey
- Tension was also created by cost, especially in Eastern bloc, where standard of living was low
- Fear
- Helped end the Cold War because realized that using the destructive weapons would wipe out both sides
- Thus both sides did seek and sign arms limitations treaties; a hotline was established
- Cost became too much for USSR
- Test Ban Treaties
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